Fakta om invandring Tino Sanandaji Stockholm School of Economics,

En presentation över ämnet: "Fakta om invandring Tino Sanandaji Stockholm School of Economics,"— Presentationens avskrift:

1 Fakta om invandring Tino Sanandaji Stockholm School of Economics,
PhD University of Chicago

2 Varför har medelhavet förvandlats till en massgrav?

3 Asylsökande per år : 25,000 2011: 30,000 2012: 44,000 2013: 54,000 2014: 81,000 2015 augusti: 12,000 2015 vecka 39: 7,000

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6 Successful historic episodes include:
Immigration is not a unitary phenomenon. Economic and social integration differs vastly by time, group and country. Successful historic episodes include: Transatlantic migration to United States 19th and 20th century Russian Jewish migration to Israel in 1990s High-skill migration to Canada and Australia Less successful historic episodes include: Post-war French migration from North Africa and colonies Roma migration to Western Europe Scandinavian refugee migration from 1980s Contested historic episodes include: Low-skill Mexican migration to United States Migration of guestworkers to Germany Somali migration to Canada George Borjas, Harvard: “The most important lesson of the research is that the economic impact of immigration will vary by time and place, and that immigration can be either beneficial or harmful”.

7 Sweden historically homogenous
Foreign born: Foreign born 1940 : 1% Foreign born 2015: 16% Foreign origin 2015: 21% (half non-European) OECD “On a per capita basis, Sweden is the country receiving the largest number of both asylum seekers and refugees” Net migration rate: USA : 0.67% Sweden : 0.2% Sweden : 0.3% Sweden 2014: 0.8%

8 Employment is key for integration, human capital is key for employment.

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13 16 % of population foreign born:
49% of unemployed 55% of long-term unemployed 60% of welfare payments 50% of long prison sentences 32% of doctors (2/3 Europe) 70% of restaurant owners 21% of population foreign origin, first or second generation: 13% founders firms with 50 or more employees 69% of child poverty 76% members criminal gangs

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16 ”Andelen utrikes födda elever som är behöriga till gymnasieskola har minskat mellan perioderna 2002–2006 och 2007–2011, från 73 procent till 65 procent. För inrikes födda elever ligger andelen behöriga kvar på 91 procent”. ”...bland den sista årskullen som vi följer, de födda 1990, har cirka 65 procent av de unga med utländsk bakgrund en gymnasieexamen och strax under 60 procent av de utrikes födda. Detta kan jämföras med cirka 80 procent av de unga med svensk bakgrund.” ”Analysen visar att unga med utrikes födda föräldrar i lägre utsträckning skriver in sig på högskola eller universitet, och att det är mindre sannolikt att de lämnar högskolan med en minst treårig högskoleutbildning, än unga med föräldrar födda i Sverige.” 

17 Landet lagom? “On a per capita basis, Sweden is the country receiving the largest number of both asylum seekers and refugees” Largest employment gap OECD “The growth in inequality between 1985 and the late 2000s was the largest among all OECD countries”. (40% increase inequality immigration) “No other PISA-participating country saw a steeper decline in student performance over the past decade than Sweden” (30% fall PISA scores driven by immigrants)

18 Arbetarrörelsen födelsestad Malmö och ”lång sikt”
281 av 290 lämnar grundskolan obehöriga för gymnasiestudier 286 av 290 i tillväxt reala inkomst sen 1991 287 av 290 inkomstojämlikhet 288 av 290 arbetslöshet 289 av 290 socialbidrag per invånare 290 av 290 barnfattigdom 5 miljarder i kommunal utjämning, 12 miljarder egna skatteintäkter

19 Malmö, Botkyrka och Södertälja högst andel utomeuropeiska invandrare.

20 EUs lösning är omfördelning av 160
EUs lösning är omfördelning av flyktingar inom unionen under två år. Efter Merkels utspel anlände flyktingar till München under en helg. “The Syria regional refugee response plan is only funded to 35% of the $1.3bn needed to support refugees, both in the camps and by providing resilience funding for the countries hosting them.” “the office of the U.N. High Commissioner on Refugees, says it is financially broke, making it difficult to help millions of Syrians living in refugee camps in neighboring countries. Aid workers say the deteriorating situation in the camps is forcing more refugees to make the long and difficult trek to Europe..."At the beginning of the year, we made an appeal for $4.5 billion to cover the needs of the 4 million refugees that are living in the neighboring countries," she says. "We are now in September, and unfortunately, we have only gotten a small portion of that funding, not even 40 percent [ca 15 miljarder kr]“ juni "Utgifterna för migration och integration uppgick till 3,5 miljarder kronor“